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Girls basketball tourney preview

Politics, World 23 February 2016
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Champlain Valley Union could join exclusive company in its chase to retain the Division I crown for the third consecutive winter.

Mill River (D-II), Richford (D-III) and Mount St. Joseph (D-IV) are also gunning for repeat titles.

Will they do it? Can they do it?

Their paths to find out start Tuesday night when teams across the state collide in playdown rounds of the high school girls basketball tournament.

The Redhawks, entering tournament play with a 91-game winning streak, have their sights set on a fourth straight championship. Only Essex (1 in D-I) and Chelsea (1 in D-IV) can lay claim to winning at least four in a row. Mill River (two seed) and MSJ (top seed) are among the favorites in their respected divisions while Richford, as the fourth seed, would be more than happy to serve in the upset role again.

As tradition demands, here are my picks for the 2016 postseason, along with storylines for each tournament:

• What to know: No. 1 CVU (20-0), its unblemished run a modern hoops record in Vermont, is undeniably the favorite. While they were challenged in spots, the Redhawks won every game by at least 10 points except for a 39-35 nailbiter at St. Johnsbury. They also held opponents to under 30 points on 14 occasions this winter and boast the state’s top two players in forward Laurel Jaunich, the reigning Free Press Miss Basketball, and point guard Sadie Otley. That aside, parity reigned in Division I, with a handful of teams brimming with confidence to make advancing a tricky endeavor for all. … No. 2 Rice (14-6) overcame a slow start to find itself in a familiar position: In the thick of a title race. Sophomore guard Lisa Sulejmani has ignited Rice’s offense, highlighted by a 39-point performance against Mount Anthony in double overtime in mid-January. .. Third-seeded Essex (14-6) has experience from last year’s finalist team but went a combined 1-5 against CVU, Essex and Burlington this winter. … The No. 4 Seahorses (13-7) welcomed back Norah Mitchell to its frontcourt-heavy lineup recently, but BHS endured a 2-4 slide down the stretch. … Polar opposites for their philosophical approaches,  No. 6 St. Johnsbury (12-8) and No. 8 Mount Anthony (10-10) are sleepers to watch –– the Hilltoppers for their methodical ways and the Patriots for their run-and-gun, high-volume shooting theatrics.

Playdowns

No. 1 Champlain Valley over No. 16 Spaulding

No. 8 Mount Anthony over No. 9 Middlebury

No. 4 Burlington over No. 13 Mount Mansfield

No. 12 Rutland over No. 5 North Country

No. 2 Rice over No. 15 Burr and Burton

No. 10 BFA-St. Albans over No. 7 Colchester

No. 3 Essex over No. 14 Brattleboro

No. 11 South Burlington over No. 6 St. Johnsbury

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Quarterfinals

CVU over Mount Anthony

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Burlington over Rutland

Rice over BFA

Essex over South Burlington

Semifinals

CVU over Burlington

Rice over Essex

• Championship: CVU 40, Rice 25 –– For the sixth straight year, these two rivals meet at Patrick Gym in the Final Four. But, like the other matchups, this one won’t be close as the senior-led Redhawks close out an unprecedented run with their 95th straight win and fourth crown in as many seasons.

• What to know: Relegated to Division I in the previous two seasons, No. 1 U-32 (19-1) returns to its more comfortable surroundings in D-II. And it’s where the Raiders, riding a 16-game winning streak, have positioned themselves as title favorites behind the play of Liz Aitchison and Andrea Symonds. U-32, its last title coming in 2004, have two wins over Lyndon and early season triumphs at Mill River and home against South Burlington. … Defending-champion and two-seed Mill River (16-4) might be peaking at the right time, closing the regular season on a five-game winning streak highlighted by topping Fair Haven and Hartford to avenge earlier defeats. .. Lyndon (17-3), at the third slot, has only lost to U-32 since the calendar turned to 2016, while No. 5 Lake Region (15-5) compiled a resume that includes a split in two meetings with the Vikings, a narrow win over St. Johnsbury and a two-point loss to South Burlington.  … Fair Haven (15-5) is lurking as the five-seed.

Playdowns

No. 1 U-32 over No. 16 Bellows Falls

No. 2 Mill River over No. 15 Springfield

No. 3 Lyndon over No. 14 Woodstock

No. 4 Fair Haven over No. 13 Otter Valley

No. 5 Lake Region over No. 12 Vergennes

No. 6 Milton over No. 11 Randolph

No. 10 Lamoille over No. 7 Mount Abraham

No. 8 BFA-Fairfax over No. 9 Hartford

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Quarterfinals

U-32 over BFA-Fairfax

Mill River over Lamoille

Lyndon over Milton

Lake Region over Fair Haven

Semifinals

U-32 over Lake Region

Lyndon over Mill River

• Championship: U-32 50, Lyndon 48 (OT) –– The teams’ third meeting of the season produces the most dramatic conclusion, with the Raiders, the division’s top team from start to finish, slipping past the Vikings in a thriller.

 • What to know: Emilee Bose and No. 1 Enosburg (17-3) enter the posteason with a 10-game winning streak and could be poised for the program’s fourth title and first since 2008. A possible quarterfinal matchup with Winooski could prove challenging –– the Spartans tagged Enosburg with its last loss and only fell 25-20 in the second meeting. … Second-seeded Thetford (15-5) has recent history on its side for a deep run with four consecutive trips to Barre Aud, back-to-back finals appearance and the 2014 crown. …Williamstown (16-4), the third seed, has won eight games in a row, many by large margins, yet against a slate of D-IV league foes from the CVL. … That leaves reigning champion Richford (15-5), the four seed in a division with only seven teams earning winning records this winter. Four of the Rockets’ losses are to Enosburg and Lake Region.

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Playdowns

No. 1 Enosburg over No. 16 Poultney

No. 9 Winooski over No. 8 Windsor

No. 2 Thetford over No. 15 Peoples

No. 7 Leland & Gray over No. 10 Northfield

No. 6 Twin Valley over No. 11 Oxbow

No. 4 Richford over No. 13 Green Mountain

No. 5 Rivendell over No. 12 Hazen

No. 3 Williamstown over No. 14 Stowe

Quarterfinals

Enosburg over Winooski

Thetford over Leland & Gray

Twin Valley over Williamstown

Richford over Rivendell

Semifinals

Enosburg over Richford

Thetford over Twin Valley

• Championship: Thetford 44, Enosburg 40 –– The Panthers, bitten by another Mountain Division team a year ago in the finals, reclaim their crown, the program’s second in three years.

• What to know:  Mount St. Joseph’s Monica Schemelzenbach reached 1,000 career points last week, just the second player in program history to hit the milestone, according to the Rutland Herald. More honors might be coming for top-seeded MSJ (19-1), the favorite to repeat. No. 2 West Rutland (17-3) and No. 3 Proctor (16-4) join MSJ as the division’s top class. The Phantoms dealt MSJ its only loss and the two programs have met in the last two finals, each winning one. Expect MSJ, Proctor and West Rutland to make up three-fourths of D-IV’s Barre contingent for the third straight year.

Playdowns

No. 8 Blue Mountain over No. 9 Mid Vermont Christian

No. 4 Chelsea over No. 13 Websterville Baptist

No. 5 Whitchester over No. 12 South Royalton

No. 2 West Rutland over No. 15 Black River

No. 10 Cabot over No. 7 Danville (10-10)

No. 3 Proctor over No. 14 Twinfield

No. 6 Craftsbury over No. 11 Arlington

Quarterfinals

No. 1 Mount St. Joseph over Blue Mountain

Chelsea over Whitchester

West Rutland over Cabot

Proctor over Craftsbury

Semifinals

MSJ over Chelsea

Proctor over West Rutland

Championship: MSJ 41, Proctor 39 –– The MVL rivals lock horns again in the final at Barre Aud, and the Mounties strike with a layup in the last minute of regulation for the decisive points for the repeat crown.

This story was originally published on Feb. 22, 2016. Contact Alex Abrami at or . Follow him on Twitter at www.twitter.com/aabrami5

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